Goal: Identify up-and-coming players in your region.
Steps:
What you're seeing: Players dominating their current bracket level who may be ready to compete at the next tier.
Follow-up: Check their recent tournament results and consider them for regional PR or invitations to higher-level events.
Goal: Understand performance trends at your local weekly.
Steps:
Guildhouse, The Function)What to look for:
Pro tip: Run this query monthly and screenshot results to track improvement over time.
Goal: See how different characters perform in your region.
Steps:
Fox)What you're comparing:
Example Analysis:
Marth mains: 15 players, average 0.35 strength, 58% win rateFox mains: 22 players, average 0.42 strength, 61% win rateGoal: Research opponents before a major tournament.
Steps:
What to study:
Pro tip: Cross-reference with the tournament's attendee list to focus on likely matchups.
Goal: Track your competitive improvement.
Steps:
Healthy progression:
Warning signs:
Goal: Identify players slightly better than you to practice against.
Steps:
Why this works: Playing people slightly better accelerates improvement without being discouraging.
Goal: Understand what's working in your region.
Steps:
Min Entrants: 32, Max Entrants: 64 (locals/regionals)Min Entrants: 64 (majors)Goal: Compare multiple weekly series.
Steps:
Use case: Deciding which weekly to attend for optimal competition level.
Bad: "Player A has 0.01 higher opponent strength, therefore they're better."
Good: "Player A and B have similar strength, but A has 10% higher win rate - A is likely performing better currently."
Why: Small differences in metrics can be statistical noise. Look for meaningful gaps (10%+ win rate difference, 0.1+ strength difference).
Example Scenario:
Question: Who's better?
Answer: Depends on context!
Takeaway: Consider player trajectory, not just current metrics.
Small sample sizes lead to unreliable metrics:
Red flags:
What to do: Use Min Entrants or Min Large Event Share to filter out low-sample players.
Example:
Character: Fox, Min Entrants: 32Don't be afraid to Reset frequently:
When to reset:
Since there's no export feature:
Naming convention example:
2024-01-15_GA_State_3mo_Fox.png
2024-01-15_Guildhouse_Weekly_30d.png
Wrong: "Player A is better because they had higher win rate in 3-month view than Player B in 30-day view."
Right: Use the same timeframe for all players you're comparing.
Wrong: "Player A has 80% win rate, Player B has 60%, therefore A is better."
Right: Check opponent strength. B might be facing much tougher competition.
Symptoms: Getting zero results or fewer than expected.
Solution:
Wrong: Always hiding outliers.
Right: Outliers can be meaningful:
Rule of thumb: Hide outliers for readability, but check who they are before dismissing them.